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Tropical Cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
863 ABNT20 KNHC 240511 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Jun 24 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues to the east of a small area of low pressure located about 200 miles east of Barbados. Increasing upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. This disturbance could produce increased shower activity and some gusty winds when it moves across the Lesser Antilles on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa later today. Although ocean temperatures are still relatively cool over the tropical Atlantic Ocean and are only marginally conducive for development, a small tropical depression could form by early next week while moving westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph across the tropical eastern and central Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster BergThere are no tropical cyclones at this time.
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Coastal areas placed under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings are identified through the use of "breakpoints." A tropical cyclone breakpoint is defined as an agreed upon coastal location that can be chosen as one of two specific end points or designated places between which a tropical storm/hurricane watch/warning is in effect. The U.S. National Weather Service designates the locations along the U.S. East, Gulf, and California coasts, Puerto Rico, and Hawaii.
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